I haven't looked back
I joined Paceform about two years ago, when they first started and I haven't looked back since.
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Systems
A profitable system can be hard to come by, but on this page I will provide my latest research of the Paceform Figures in an attempt to achieve that outcome. The ultimate aim is to arm Paceform members with a quick route to locate value, and thus profit continuously by using the speed figures. I have been gathering data since July 2022, and I am hopeful this research will allow anyone, no matter how little their knowledge of horse racing, to efficiently select which horses to back on a daily basis. The aim of all the research I publish is to make a profit, and I have been recording results to Betfair Starting Prices after commission, a price anyone can obtain. I believe profits will be enhanced by backing at early prices, but by recording to Betfair SP I know any profitable edge I discover has longevity. Therefore even someone like myself, who is banned from using online bookmakers, can still utilise the Paceform Figures on the Betfair Exchange to profit in a sustainable manner.
Experienced members will know it is very difficult to turn a profit at Starting Prices, but such is the edge given by the Paceform Figures when used correctly, that the data I have collected is revealing ways to beat the market even under the constraints of using the Betfair SP, and after deducting commission.
The advantage of using a system for every member will be:
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No form study, the numbers do the work
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Quick and easy to use
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A consistent daily process
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Eliminates emotional betting
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Can be combined with 1% compounding stakes
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The Paceform Figures continually work for you
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Sustainable betting, profitable at Betfair SP
As further data is gathered I will reveal more edges for members, but system selections will only be published once backed by sufficient research. I have many ideas which I think will interest members greatly, so make sure you keep tabs on this page as it is updated. There are no guarantees with any systematic approach, but I'm hopeful this page can contribute greatly to the profits already being achieved on the "Todays Selections" section of the site.
*All systems & research based on UK racing and 1 point win bets. I've avoided Irish meetings due to the inaccuracies in the reported yardages*
System 1:
The Form Horse
Results since July 2022:
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Selections: 427
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Winners: 123
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Strike Rate: 28.81 %
Profit: +120.91 points
Based on 1 point win bets at Betfair SP after commission
The Form Horse Losing Run Expectancy
What can we expect?
The Form Horse System has been running at around a 29% strike rate over the 297 selection sample to date. Taking a cautious view we can see from the table above that a 25% strike rate will produce a losing run of 13 for every 100 bets, 18 losers every 500 bets, all the way up to a losing run of 24 for 5000 bets.
What is a safe staking method to use?
A 1% staking method looks the best to employ here. As members know I personally like to use 1% compound stakes, whereby I increase my stakes every time the bank hits a new high. This takes into account the expected losing runs that cant be avoided, but maximises the growth potential with the compounding effect.
Keys To Success
Don't be disheartened by losing runs, it is just how numbers and variance work. You know what to expect before you start, and if you stake correctly with good bank management the rewards will come your way. Don't give up.
System 2:
The Course Specialist
Results since July 2022:
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Selections: 451
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Winners: 106
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Strike Rate: 23.5 %
Profit: +182.65 points
Based on 1 point win bets at Betfair SP after commission
Course Specialist Losing Run Expectancy
What can we expect?
The Course Specialist System has been running at around a 23% strike rate over the 309 bet sample collected to date. We can see from the table above that a 20% strike rate will produce a losing run of 21 for every 100 bets, 28 losers every 500 bets, all the way up to a losing run of 39 for 5000 bets.
What is a safe staking method to use?
A 1% staking method looks the best to employ here. As members know I personally like to use 1% compound stakes, whereby I increase my stakes every time the bank hits a new high. This takes into account the expected losing runs that cant be avoided, but maximises the growth potential with the compounding effect.
Keys To Success
Don't be disheartened by losing runs, it is just how numbers and variance work. You know what to expect before you start, and if you stake correctly with good bank management the rewards will come your way. Don't give up.
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