The Paceform Figures Explained
Bet Smarter: How I Use Data to Win
The Paceform Figures form the backbone of my betting strategy, helping me uncover value opportunities and achieve consistent success. By combining precise data with a disciplined, structured approach, I’ve transformed betting into a reliable and profitable system. This page will show you exactly how to leverage these tools and strategies to grow your betting bank and reach your goals.
When I first view the Paceform Figures for a race, my attention is initially drawn to the last-time-out figures of each horse, highlighted by the blue outline. These are the speed figures for each horse's most recent run and allow me to quickly spot horses to focus on, as well as identify which horses are in form based on quick times in relation to the opposition today.
In this example, LADY DREAMER (86) jumps out and is 7 clear of the next best (Macanudo 79).
Having identified a stand out horse based on last-time-out figures, my next question is whether the selection has conditions to suit based on today’s race. The summary box below the main ratings displays a horse's best Paceform Figure from its entire racing career, broken down by course, distance, going, and weight.
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As we can see from the red outline below, bold numbers in the summary box highlight horses with the best Paceform Figure for that variable, Lady Dreamer has a lot in her favour, being top for course, distance, and going, with a figure of 88 for each variable. A minus in any column indicates how far behind the top-rated horse a horse is, and a dash indicates no data for that variable.
For example, Sovereign Knight has a dash in the course column, indicating he has never run at Wolverhampton and therefore has no course form. He has a minus 1 in the distance column, indicating his best figure at today’s distance is 1 behind Lady Dreamer (88 - 1 = 87).
Lastly, we can see that Lady Dreamer also tops the Paceform Figures overall, highlighted below by the black outline. This section ranks the runners based on their best figure in the last 12 months on the current surface. As this is an all-weather race, all previous runs on the all-weather in the past year contribute, and the best figure achieved is the number assigned to the runner.
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Lady Dreamer scores 88 here based on her best figure on the all-weather in the last 12 months, higher than any other horse in the race.
Adding the variables together: Lady Dreamer arrives with a strong last-time-out figure, conditions to suit with standout ratings for course, distance, and going, and tops the overall ratings. She’s an obvious pick using the Paceform Figures.
The result was a satisfying one, with Lady Dreamer winning after being well backed before the off. She returned at an SP of 85/40, meaning my early price of above 3/1 was outstanding value.
Less Obvious Examples
King's Code
Whilst Lady Dreamer was an obvious example of a horse that stood out on the Paceform Figures in every category, there are instances where a horse may not appear as clear-cut at first glance yet still presents a strong betting opportunity.
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Lets Examine this race below which took place on boxing day 2024:
Step 1: As always, my attention is first drawn to the last-time-out Paceform Figures, highlighted by the blue box. Immediately, King’s Code stands out with a figure of 93, which is 9 points clear of the next best, Civil Law, on 84.
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Step 2: I ask myself, does King’s Code have conditions to suit in today’s race? For this my focus is on the Summary Box, which shows a horses lifetime best Paceform Figure broken down by Course, Distance, Going and Weight.
As shown in the red box, Tempus leads for Course, Distance, and Going with a figure of 98. However, King’s Code is second best for course and distance with a figure of 93 (5 points below Tempus), 3rd best on the going (93 again indicated by -5, behind Tempus on 98 and Felix on 96) and best at the weights with a 94. Therefore, although not leading in every category, King's Code is high in the pecking order across all factors, indicating he can replicate his best form under todays conditions. So we move on to a final check.
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The black box shows a horse's best figure on today’s surface (in this case, the all-weather) over the last year. Tempus has a figure of 80 here, indicating the 98's in the red box were not achieved recently. We can be confident Tempus is more likely to run a figure closer to 80 than 98, as the 98 figures were achieved in the distant past.
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Therefore, on recent form, King’s Code is the clear choice upon closer inspection, with only very old figures from Tempus (over a year old) preventing him from topping the Course and Distance categories as well.
It is clear that King’s Code arrives with the best last-time-out figure by far, has consistently high figures across all categories relative to the opposition, and tops the overall ratings for the last year (black box) by 4 points.
It would be a mistake to rule out horses just because they don’t top every category at first glance. On closer inspection, King’s Code was an obvious pick using the Paceform Figures and rewarded my £41 stake with a return of £77.90.
RAQRAAQ
Let's examine another race with a strong but less obvious opportunity.
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Step 1: As always, my attention is first drawn to the last-time-out Paceform Figures, highlighted by the blue box. Attention is immediately drawn to RAQRAAQ on 83, 3 clear of the next best in the race.
Step 2: Does Raqraaq have conditions to suit in today’s race? For this my focus is on the Summary Box, which shows a horses lifetime best Paceform Figure on the current surface (in this case all weather) broken down by Course, Distance, Going and Weight.
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Here, we can see Kondratiev Wave has the top figures in every category, shown by bold numbers highlighted by the red box: 89 for Course, 86 for Distance, 89 for Going, and 84 for Weight.
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Raqraaq has minus numbers in each category, showing how far behind Kondratiev Wave he is for each factor: Under todays conditons Raqraaq has best scores of:
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Course -6 (89 - 6 = 83),
Distance -3 (86 - 3 = 83),
Going -6 (89 - 6 = 83)
Weight -4 (84 - 4 = 80)..
At first glance, this may discourage us from Raqraaq, but a closer look tells a different story.
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The Black Box ranks horses by their best Paceform Figure in the last year.
Here, Kondratiev Wave scores 80, meaning his highest in the last year is 80. This confirms the 89, 86, 89, and 84 he scored for Course, Distance, Going, and Weight were recorded over a year ago. In comparison, Raqraaq scores 83 in the Black Box, giving him the highest Paceform Figure in the race over the past year.
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To summarise:
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Raqraaq has the best last time out figure of 83.
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Raqraaq has the highest Paceform Figure in the last year (83).
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Raqraaq has an 83 for Course, Distance, and Going - higher than any other horse in the last year for all 3 factors.
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Therefore, Raqraaq arrives in form, can produce his best numbers under today's conditions, and has figures superior to any rival in the last 12 months. It's clear he is a standout contender based on the Paceform Figures.
I was handsomely rewarded with a profit of £324.80 from my £58 stake, as Raqraaq won while Kondratiev Wave finished 4th.
The Paceform Figures provide a clear, data-driven approach to identifying the best betting opportunities, whether it’s a standout favourite or a hidden value pick. By focusing on last-time-out figures, suitability to conditions, and recent form, you can make informed, confident selections. This structured method helps you spot value, reduce guesswork, and improve long-term success.
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